February 5, 2010

Where are we now? (one year after the protest against the Ravalomanana`s regime

 

One year ago, thousands of people took to the streets of Antananarivo (13 Mai square) when Mr Andry Rajoelina called for protests against Ravalomanana`s regime. Some observers said that it was not a political protest (to demand democratic reforms), but a manifestation of anger. All of us noted that during the daily demonstrations around the 13 Mai square, some people call for riots and looting. Consequently, many organised gangs started to broke stores. Some of them died when the shops they were broking collapsed. What do these events bring for us? Economic growth? Political stability? Democratic reforms? I ask this question to  the current political leaders all Malagasy citizens.

January 7, 2010

The decision of the International contact group on Madagascar (Addis Abeba, january 6th 2010)

4th CONSULTATIVE MEETING OF THE

INTERNATIONAL CONTACT GROUP ON MADAGASCAR (ICGM)

ADDIS ABABA, 6 JANUARY 2010, AT 10:00 AM

COMMUNIQUE

 

1. At the initiative of the Chairperson of the Commission of the African Union (AU),Mr. Jean Ping, and as part of the efforts to re‐launch the process for a way out of the crisis in Madagascar, the International Contact Group (ICG) on Madagascar held its fourthconsultative meeting in Addis Ababa, under the aegis of the AU, on 6 January 2010. Inaddition to the AU, the meeting brought together high‐level representatives of thefollowing organizations and countries: Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa(COMESA), Indian Ocean Commission (IOC), United Nations, International Organization ofLa Francophonie (OIF), Southern African Development Community (SADC) and theEuropean Union (EU). Libya, current chair of the AU, and Tunisia, in its capacity as thecountry chairing the Peace and Security Council (PSC) for the month of January 2010, aswell as the African and the permanent members of the UN Security Council alsoparticipated in the meeting.

2. The purpose of the meeting was to re‐launch the process for a way out of thecrisis in Madagascar, following the deadlock in the implementation of the Addis AbabaAdditional Act of 6 November 2009, particularly the distribution of ministerial portfolios between the Malagasy political camps, and in light of the developments that followed, including the meeting of the Leaders of three of the political camps in Maputo, from 4 to 8 December 2009, and the unilateral measures taken by the de facto authorities, namelythe abrogation of the Transitional Charter and the dismissal of the consensus Prime Minister, alleging that the implementation of the Maputo Agreements and the Addis Ababa Additional Act had become intenable.

3. The participants reviewed the developments in Madagascar since the 4th meeting of Leaders of the political camps in Madagascar, held in Addis Ababa from 3 to 6 November 2009. They noted the efforts made by their respective organizations and countries to support the implementation of the Agreements that had been signed. In that respect, the AU informed the participants of the measures it had taken in the wake of the Addis Ababa meeting in a bid to establish the Follow‐up Mechanism provided for under Article 12 of the Addis Ababa Additional Act.

 4. The participants listened to a statement by Mr. Joaquim Chissano, Head of the SADC Mediation Team, who coordinated the international facilitation efforts, on the meeting between three of the four Leaders of the political camps in Madagascar, held in Maputo from 4 to 8 December 2009, as well as on the impediments to the implementation of the Inter‐Malagasy Agreements concluded in Maputo and Addis Ababa.

5. The participants recalled the cardinal principles which should guide the process for a way out of the crisis and return to constitutional rule, and, in this respect, they urged the Malagasy parties to conclude expeditiously the full agreement on a transitional arrangement, building on what they had already agreed to in the Maputo Agreements of 8 and 9 August 2009 and the Addis Ababa Additional Act of 6 November 2009, duly negotiated and signed by the four Leaders of the political camps in Madagascar. They also reaffirmed the determination of their respective organizations and countries to support the Malagasy parties in the implementation of these Agreements in a spirit of reconciliation and compromise.

 6. The members of the International Contact Group reaffirmed that the transition, which should be as short as possible, should enable the organization, in a consensual and inclusive manner, of elections that are free, credible and transparent, likely to contribute to a sustainable way out of the crisis. The Malagasy authorities of the consensual andinclusive transition shall agree on the timetable and conditions for the organization, process and supervision of the elections. 

7. To that end, the International Contact Group lent its full support to the initiative envisaged on an ad hoc basis by the Chairperson of the African Union Commission, in view of the urgency of the situation and the need to re‐launch the process for a way out of the crisis, to elaborate and present to the Malagasy parties a compromise solution on the outstanding issues to resolve the current stalemate. These measures should focus on all transition institutions, including the Government, and on the organisation of elections, and should facilitate the implementation of the Maputo Agreements of 8 and 9 August 2009 and the Addis Ababa Additional Act of 6 November 2009. In this context, and in order to lend the full support of the international community to this initiative, it was agreed that the Chairperson of the Commission would rely on a consultative group of ICGM experts to elaborate the afore‐mentioned compromise solutions.

8. The ICG urgently requested the Malagasy parties to forward to the AU Commission, within two (2) weeks, their reactions to the compromise solutions to be submitted to them before 25 January 2010. The ICG shall meet in Addis Ababa after the submission by the Malagasy parties of their reactions.

9. In the meantime, the ICG encouraged the AU Commission to intensify its efforts to finalise the rapid establishment of the Follow‐up Mechanism provided for in the Addis Ababa Additional Act. The Mechanism would facilitate the implementation of commitments made, the monitoring of the situation on the ground and the coordination of the efforts to support the process for a way out of the crisis in Madagascar.

10. The participants, once again, highlighted the need for the rapid return to constitutional order via a consensual process involving all Malagasy political stakeholders. They urged the Malagasy political camps to return in good faith to the spirit of compromise and consensus which enabled the negotiations that led to the signing of the Maputo Agreements of 8 and 9 August 2009 and the Addis Ababa Additional Act of 6 November 2009. They also requested them to refrain from any statement and action which could complicate the search for a sustainable way out of the crisis or jeopardise the safety of people and property.

11. The members of the International Contact Group on Madagascar agreed to continue to work together under the auspices of the AU, and in support of its efforts, to promote a rapid settlement of the crisis and the return to constitutional order inMadagascar.

Addis Ababa, 6 January 2010

December 30, 2009

the current malagasy political leaders are not affected by the cancellation of the AGOA

Few days after the decision of the US government of firing Madagascar from the AGOA, I am trying to know the main reasons of this decision. Of course, most of you readers  say that  this decision of the American  government was based on many criterias, but the first and the most important one is the respect of democracy.

We know that the United States of America is very strict about the respect of the democracy. Consequently, the US government requires the respect of the democracy from all the “AGOA beneficiary countries”. It means that if the democracy is not respected in the country, the AGOA will be canceled. Nowadays, it is the case of Madagascar. In fact, many observers(local and international) say that democracy is not fully respected in Madagascar: the current president came to power through an illegal way, the parliament (directly elected by the  people) have been suspended,  the  opposition  do not have access to the public media, etc…

According to the previous statements, we can say that the cancellation of AGOA is a political decision. However, we should not forget that this decision affect the malagasy economical and social life. In fact, many local companies which have thousands of employees took benefits from the AGOA. Nowadays, these companies are obliged to “close the door”. It means that many people will lose their job. I know  a family in which the parents and their two sons work  for  free zone companies.The situation is really sad.

Why did the American government take this decision? Instead of canceling the AGOA for Madagascar, the us government should take some individual measures ( individual restrictions…) against the current political leaders. In fact, the Malagasy political leaders are not affected by this cancellation of the AGOA. They do not work for  the free zone companies. It is really sad for the Malagasy people, but the decision has been already made.

December 28, 2009

2009 was an horribilis year for Madagascar

After celebrating Christmas( going  to church, eating food and cake, having fun with family),  I took a look at all the  2009  malagasy news paper that I collected. After  1 hour and 30 minutes of reading ( only the economic and  political news), I came to the following conclusion: 2009 was a terrible year for Madagascar( Malagasy people but not malagasy politicians).In fact, we can say that 2009 was the hardest year for Madagascar:

- Many people were killed, injured;

- Many people lost their job;

- Many infrastructures were destroyed;

- Many people lost their assess;

- Many companies were  closed;

- Many foreign investors have left Madagascar;

- And recently, Madagascar was fired from the AGOA

The list is quite long if I write in this post all the event which happened during the 2009 crisis. But as a malagasy citizen, I hope that the current political crisis will be resolved at the beginning of 2010.

December 24, 2009

The US government terminates its commercial and financial support for Madagascar

The american government has announced its decision of terminating its commercial and financial support to madagascar. This decision of the US governement is not a surprise. In fact, the american government has already condamned the way Mr Andry Rajoelina comes to power. It was qualified by the international community as unconstitutional. The question which come  in my mind is the following:

What will be the feed back from Andry rajoelina and his team?

Wait and see

December 15, 2009

THE 2009 CLIMATE OF INVESTMENTS IN MADAGASCAR

 

                For the last two years (2007 and 2008), Madagascar has made tremendous efforts to make its economy progress. The relevant aggregates pertaining to the period of 2007 and 2008 express this positive dynamism of the Malagasy economy. The main reason, revealed by international consultants, of such development is that the whole state policy has been purposely driven towards a real opening to International investments. For the sake of its economic development, Madagascar has always tried to attract foreign investors. In fact, since 2003, the Republic of Madagascar has made significant efforts to gain the interest of international investors: the new investment act (act 2007-036 dated January 14th, 2008) has been promulgated; the EDBM (Economic Development Board of Madagascar) has been created, most of administrative procedures to incorporate companies and to obtain operative licenses have been eased, new incentive legal texts ruling “economic key sectors” have been created,…. The core of the State’s policy for a “fast and sustainable” development lies on the promotion of direct private investment. The act 2007 – 036 has been especially drafted for such purpose. How does this new investment act affect the climate of investment in Madagascar? What is the role of the EDBM in terms of attractive and transparent climate of investment? These three questions appear to be crucial to understand in order to analyse the effects of the current political turmoil on Malagasy climate of investments. Nevertheless, we already can admit that the current political crisis is a real and unexpected disaster for the Malagasy economy. It is obvious that most of Madagascar economic indicators were positive for the period of 2007 – 2008 until the crisis occurred in the beginning of this year. Most of economic analysts and, especially, Malagasy company leaders, agree to say that the surplus value collected for the said period (2007 and 2008) has been completely lost within the length of the crisis (from January 2009 till present day).

Climate of investments

The concept of climate of investment can be defined as all factors that can be analyzed as the environment in which investment is realized, namely political history, economic situation, the social climate and the legal system.
The investment climate is formed by a body of evidence of cumulative nature which shall include the following areas: equal treatment, the intangibility of rules on investment, rule of law, and respect for property.

The climate of investments is the main criterion which is used by the World Bank to rank a country in its annual review “Doing Business”.

According to many experts, the current climate of investments has come to a point in which Madagascar is not anymore an interesting prospect for International investors. All of the consequences triggered by the crisis, and especially the expression of the crisis itself, led to a growing disinterest for the “economic Madagascar destination”. Before the 2009 political turmoil, the Madagascar climate of investments was positively appreciated by most of our institutional supporters as improving, open and innovating. After the crisis (we mean here, after the violent upheaval of the crisis), Madagascar has tremendously regressed on the International ranking of countries with added investment values. The most important fact which has worsened the situation is that during the crisis, there was a huge spirit of rejection of all foreign interests, publicly expressed by the leaders of the movement. During the crisis, there were many foreign companies which were victim if the rioters. The most important element of the climate of investments is the political stability, Madagascar does not have it.

The new investment act: 2007- 036 of January 14th, 2008

This act is among the most tangible sign of willingness from the former Malagasy leaders for opening Madagascar to the world economy. This act was not only drafted to be a simple legal text among so many others; this act is considered as the “constitution” of all the legal texts with economic trend.

The main purposes of an investment act (code) are the following:

- Attracting investors through legal guarantees and tax benefits;

- Defining conditions for admission and determining the legal status of approved companies.

The investment act should not operate discrimination between foreign and domestic investment. It must contain measures to attract investment, provide the procedure and the sanctions and dispute resolution.

The Malagasy new investment Act has been drafted in order to improve the climate of investments in Madagascar. In its articles 2; 3; 4; 5; 6 the new investment Act provides the main conditions of a good climate of investment:

                   – Freedom of investment (Article 2);

                   – Equality of treatment (Article 3);

                   – Protection of patent rights (Article 4);

                   – Freedom of transfers (Article 5);

                   – Stability (Article 6)  

1) The Freedom of investment:

The article 2 of the new Investment act states that any natural or legal entity, Malagasy or foreign, is free to invest in Madagascar, in accordance with the laws and regulations in force, subject to provisions applicable to some activity sectors which are themselves subject to specific rules. These concern mining, oil and gas, banking, insurance, telecommunications, medical activities. It means that any investors can operate in Madagascar as long as they respect the Malagasy legislation.

2) The equality of Treatment:

The article 3 of the new investment act states that foreign and Malagasy investors are equally treated. They are free to hold up to 100% of shares or stocks of the company in which they carry out their activities. It means that, a foreign investor can set up a wholly owned Malagasy company. Consequently, the foreign investor is not obliged to share with a Malagasy citizen for the setting-up of a Malagasy company.

3) The protection of patent rights:

The new investment act in its article 4 provides “The Malagasy state guarantees that the individual or collective patent rights are respected. The investors are guarded against any privatisation, expropriation or requisition measures with the exception of a public interest. Failing this, the investor will be granted a fair and preliminary compensation in accordance with the appropriate laws and regulations.” According to this provision, the protection of the investor’s patent right is guaranteed by the Malagasy authorities.

4) The freedom of transfers:  

The new investment act in its article 5 states that foreign or local investors are allowed to freely transfer abroad without prior authorisation all profits after full payment of taxes, dividends, miscellaneous payments and repayments including refunds of advances on the partners’ current account and their income.

5) The stability:

The article 6 of the new investment act provides that the Malagasy state commits to establish and maintain a favourable climate for investment by granting tax, customs, financial and social incentives to investors within the context of carrying out their investment projects.

II) The Economic Development Board of Madagascar (EDBM)

 

An organisation called Economic Development Board of Madagascar was created in order to introduce and maintain a favourable investment climate in Madagascar.

          According to the article 9 of the new investment act, the EDBM is in charge of promoting, facilitating and speeding up the approval of all investments projects. In fact, before the promulgation of the new investment act, the relationship between the Malagasy authorities and the private sector was complicated. In order to improve this relationship, the EDBM has been created. The main goal of the EDBM is to facilitate, and promote the approval of investment projects in Madagascar. For that purpose, according to the article 8 of the new investment act, the procedures related to the carrying out of investments in projects in Madagascar are gathered at the EDBM:

- Entrance visa application;

- Long stay visa application;

- Professional visa application;

- Approval for all companies which plan to operate in Madagascar as a “Free zone”;

- Issuing of “Authorisation of land acquisition”;

- Registration, amendment registration, and cancellation of company;

- Issuing of “build authorization”.

          Apart from these previous missions, the EDBM can help the Malagasy authorities for the drafting of any laws which may have an impact on the climate of investment in Madagascar.

 “Companies life”

It is widely known that the so called private sector is the main engine of the economic development of Madagascar; such assertion has been used as among the leading principles of the national economic plan: the M.A.P. (Madagascar Action Plan). In this road map, the private sector and the public sector (mainly the state) were scheduled to partner for the implementation of public works necessary for the “fast and sustainable” of Madagascar. Obviously, the private sector is wholly and exclusively composed by private companies (regardless of their legal form), all incorporated in Madagascar according to Malagasy law. With the occurrence of the political crisis, these companies faced a lot of difficulties which prevented them from investing, and from “normally” running their businesses.

This critical situation of Malagasy companies has triggered a tremendous economic and especially social crisis. The winding-up or the suspension of activities of most of competitive companies led to a general feeling of social instability which prevented people to consume. As a loop-hole, this global reluctance to consume and to invest, put many companies in a situation of bankruptcy and / or financial uncertainty.

The government of former President Marc Ravalomanana was aggressively seeking foreign investment and had planned to tackle many of the obstacles to such investment, including combating corruption, reforming land-ownership laws, encouraging study of American and European business techniques, and active pursuit of foreign investors. President Ravalomanana rose to prominence through his agro-foods TIKO company, and is known for attempting to apply many of the lessons learned in the world of business to running the government. Prior to Ravalomanana’s resignation, concerns had arisen about the conflict of interest between his policies and the activities of his firms. Most notable among them the preferential treatment for rice imports initiated by the government in late 2004 when responding to a production shortfall in the country.

Madagascar’s appeal to investors stems from its competitive, trainable work force. More than 200 investors, particularly garment manufacturers, were organized under the country’s export processing zone (EPZ) system since it was established in 1989. The absence of quota limits on textile imports to the European market under the Lome Convention helped stimulate this growth.

Since the mid-1980s, Madagascar has run sizeable balance-of-payment deficits. The current account deficit as a percentage of GDP averaged in excess of 6% during much of the 1990s and registered nearly 4 percent in 1999. Madagascar’s debt ratio, which had reached 46 percent in 1996, was estimated at 15.4% in 2000. Within an overall framework of poverty reduction, the HIPC Initiative was expected to enable the country to reduce its debt service ratio to 5.5% in 2003, and remain at around 5% throughout the projection period 2000-19.

From more than 60% in 1994, the inflation rate dropped to 6.4% in 1998, before rising again to 14.4% in 1999 and 8.7% in 2000.

During a period of solid growth from 1997 to 2001, poverty levels remained stubbornly high, especially in rural areas. A six-month political crisis triggered by a dispute over the outcome of the presidential elections held in December 2001 virtually halted economic activity in much of the country in the first half of 2002. Real GDP dropped 12.7 percent in 2002, inflows of foreign investment dropped sharply, and the crisis tarnished Madagascar’s budding reputation as an AGOA standout and a promising place to invest. After the crisis, the economy rebounded with GDP growth of over 10% in 2003. Currency depreciation and rising inflation in 2004 hampered economic performance, but growth for the year reached 5.3%, with inflation reaching around 25% at the end of the year. In 2005 inflation was brought under control by tight monetary policy of raising the Taux Directeur (central bank rate) to 16% and tightening reserve requirements for banks. Thus growth was expected to reach around 6.5% in 2005.

Following the 2002 political crisis, the government attempted to set a new course and build confidence, in coordination with international financial institutions and donors. Madagascar developed a recovery plan in collaboration with the private sector and donors and presented it at a “Friends of Madagascar” conference organized by the World Bank in Paris in July 2002. Donor countries demonstrated their confidence in the new government by pledging $1 billion in assistance over five years. The Malagasy Government identified road infrastructure as its principle priority and underlined its commitment to public-private partnership by establishing a joint public-private sector steering committee.

The Madagascar-U.S. Business Council was formed as collaboration between the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) and Malagasy artisan producers in Madagascar in 2002. The U.S.-Madagascar Business Council was formed in the United States in May 2003, and the two organizations continue to explore ways to work for the benefit of both groups.

Nowadays, the Ravalomanana’s administration has come to an end with the unconstitutional takeover of Andry Rajoelina. Ravalomanana has left a heavy legacy: the moral obligation for any of his successor to reach a better climate of investments than he did. Andry Rajoelina has to convince to have the investors’ confidence back. His greatest weakness is actually his global image which has been promoted throughout the world: an image of a young nationalist who came to power in an illegal way.

December 1, 2009

ANDRY RAJOELINA REFUSES TO MEET THE THREE FORMER PRESIDENTS ABROAD

yesterday afternoon at the palace of Ambohitsirohitra, the president Andry Nirina Rajoelina made a press conference ( some local journalists were not allowed to attend this press conference). During this press conference, Andry rajoelina made an announcement, he said that he will not attend the meeting( between him and the former presidents)wich will be led by Mr Chissano at the capital of Mozambique (Maputo). In fact, according to him, it will be a west of time and west of money. After this announcement, the questions which come to our mind are the following:

- will the international mediators and the other political leaders keep this meeting without the presence of Mr Andry Nirina Rajoelina?

-Did Mr Andry Nirina Rajoelina think about the consequences of his decision ( suspension of the financial support from the IMF, world bank, and the other international entities, cancellation of the AGOA)? 

- What will be the reaction of the international community? 

We will know the answersof these questions within few days. However, we should not forget that the more time our political leaders take to solve the current political problem, the more difficult our daily life will be.

November 25, 2009

CHILDREN`S RIGHTS IN MADAGASCAR

On November 23rd, 20009; many countries including Madagascar celebrated the 20th anniversary of the “Convention on the Rights of the child”. In fact, 20 years ago, world leaders decided that children needed a special convention just for them because people under 18 years old often need special care and protection that adults do not. The world leaders also wanted to make sure that the world recognized that children have human rights too.

In Madagascar, children are vulnerable. Consequently, they need special protection. In fact, like in many African countries, Malagasy children are suffering from poverty, neglect, homelessness, abuse, diseases. These problems affect many Malagasy children. When you go on the street or get on the bus, you can see many children who are selling food and news paper. We should know that these children have the right to go to school, to eat, to have fun, to wear cloths. Unfortunately, many parents do not care about their children’s rights. They oblige their children to work in order to contribute to the family expenses.

It is really good to celebrate the anniversary of this convention, but this celebration must be put into practice. In fact, by ratifying this convention on the rights of children, world leaders show their intention to protect and promote children’s rights. In this regards, we must protect and promote the children’s right. It means that the task engage not just the political leaders but all the Malagasy citizens. You can start by explaining to your children their rights. Do not wait for the government to do the mission.

 

November 24, 2009

Two weeks after Addis Abeba, the government is not yet implemented

Two weeks after the signature of the additonnal agreement at Addis Abeba, the three groups ( Ravalomanana group, Ratsiraka group, Zafy Albert group, and Andry Rajoelina grou) fail to reach an agreement about the new government. In fact, each group claims to obtain the ” Key- Ministries”. According to a non official report, the two groups ( Andry Rajoelina group and Ravalomanana group) are the origins of this problem.

The malagasy people trust on these malagasy political leaders to resolve immediately the problem. These political leaders should note that malagasy people are suffering due to their political dispute. In fact, many people have lost their job, many companies have been obliged to stop their activities,…

So, it is time for these political leaders to show their ” patriotism” by implementing this government as soon as possible. We should not forget that our futur depends on it. The foreign entities ( countries, Organization) are waiting for the implementation of the new government before providing any financial supports.

November 14, 2009

Is it the end of the current crisis?

The new Prime Minister (Mr Mangalaza Jean Eugène) legally and democratically taken the power at the Palace of Mahazoarivo. During the ceremony he provided all his programs during the transitional period , namely:

- The organization a free and fare presidential election;

- The drafting of a new Constitution which led Madagascar to the 4th republic.

All the personalities ( ambassadors, political leaders,  representative of the armed forces,…) said that a big step has been made by Madagascar. In fact, after nine months of crisis, the Malagasy political actors ( leaders) agreed on the fact that a neutral, consensual government is the solution of the current problems. But, it should be noticed that, apart from its political aspect, the current crisis concerns everything ( economy, finance, education,…). Consequently, the following questions come to my mind:

- Do these new leaders undertake to resolve our economical, the financial problems?

- Do these new leaders commit to help the people who lost their jobs during the current turmoil?

 

Wait and see!!!!!